Carnegie Europe

Europe’s Overseas Countries and Territories as Geopolitical Assets

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 09:02:50 +0000

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European states control several Overseas Countries and Territories around the world that carry strategic, economic, and environmental weight. As great powers challenge the rules-based order, defending them is a geopolitical imperative for Europe.

Assessing Information Ecosystems: How Governments Can Get Ahead of Hybrid Threats

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:55 +0000

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The hybrid warfare landscape is evolving rapidly, leaving policymakers without clear strategies. To better inform their work in addressing emerging challenges, governments must dig deeper into the underlying dynamics at play.

Europe from Scratch: Visions for a New European Order

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:44 +0000

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As the EU confronts profound challenges, several leaders have called for fundamental reform to the union’s model—but only modest, superficial changes have resulted. What if Europe really could be reimagined from zero today: What should such a redesigned European order look like?

When AI Agents Attack: Autonomous Cyber Operations and Europe’s Governance Gap

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:41 +0000

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Autonomous AI agents are increasingly prevalent in cyberspace. The EU needs a real-time monitoring strategy, to invest in AI defenses, and to reduce its strategic dependence on U.S. frontier models.

Managing Montreux: Turkey and the Russia-Ukraine War in the Black Sea

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:34 +0000

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For ninety years, Turkey has been positioned as the principal gatekeeper of Black Sea security. As a result, European and NATO efforts to support Ukraine will require closer engagement with Ankara.

A Grand Strategy for Europe’s Clean Industrial Future

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:30 +0000

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Europe’s industrial supply chains leave it vulnerable to global shocks. The EU needs a pragmatic green industrial strategy that balances durable partnerships and bolsters homegrown clean tech without sacrificing low-carbon ambition.

From Trade Dependence to Geopolitical Leverage: The EU in an Era of Weaponized Interdependence

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:23 +0000

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As geopolitical rivalry weaponizes global supply chains, the EU’s true vulnerability lies in emerging-risk imports. For these goods, suppliers are growing more concentrated, substitution more difficult, and political risk is looming.

Ecological Statecraft in the Midst of War: Water, Regeneration, and the Future of Gulf Security

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:15 +0000

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The U.S.-Iran war has crossed a dangerous threshold: water infrastructure in the Gulf is now a target. Ecological statecraft is no longer peripheral to security, it's part of its foundations.

The French Far Right’s Foreign Policy: Big Ambitions, Uncertain Direction

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:09 +0000

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The National Rally’s electoral strength, coupled with its internal fragility at a crucial political juncture, contributes to foreign policy vagueness.

EU Integration Without Ratification?

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:42:04 +0000

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Countries face several hurdles in joining the EU, including the final stage of ratifying their accession treaties. Procedural reforms and substantive adjustments could help move the process forward.

Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:55 +0000

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The U.S.-sponsored TRIPP deal is driving the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process forward. But foreign and domestic hurdles remain before connectivity and economic interdependence can open up the South Caucasus.

Resetting Cyber Relations with the United States

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:51 +0000

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For years, the United States anchored global cyber diplomacy. As Washington rethinks its leadership role, the launch of the UN’s Cyber Global Mechanism may test how allies adjust their engagement.

How Turkey Can Help the Economies of the South Caucasus to Diversify

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:48 +0000

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Over the past two decades, regional collaboration in the South Caucasus has intensified. Turkey and the EU should establish a cooperation framework to accelerate economic development and diversification.

European Democracy Support Annual Review 2025

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:43 +0000

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European democracy support strategy in 2025 prioritized protecting democratic norms within Europe. This signals the start of a structural recalibration of the EU’s approach to democracy support.

What Can the EU Do About Trump 2.0?

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:33 +0000

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Europe’s policy of subservience to the Trump administration has failed. For Washington to take the EU seriously, its leaders now need to combine engagement with robust pushback.

Rules or Deals? The EU’s Challenge in Regulating Corrosive Capital in the Western Balkans

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:27 +0000

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The United Arab Emirates has become a major investor in the Western Balkans. With enlargement back on the agenda, the EU must ensure that foreign capital meets rather than undermines its governance standards.

How EU Foreign Policy Turned Regional

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:24 +0000

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The EU’s engagement with the rest of the world has become increasingly uneven. To chase the ambition of a global Europe, the second von der Leyen commission must leverage funds and diplomatic tools to play a more cohesive role in shaping international affairs.

Can Turkey Cut the Gordian Knot in the Caucasus?

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:13 +0000

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Turkey seeks to position itself as a key peacemaker and regional hub in the South Caucasus. To achieve this, Ankara should move beyond nationalist rhetoric toward a more pragmatic, strategic approach rooted in the international legal order.

Moldova’s Election Is a Test for Russian Influence in Europe

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:09 +0000

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Moldova’s parliamentary election is make-or-break for the country’s European future. The outcome will test whether Chișinău will stay on the EU accession path or fall prey to Russia’s multi-domain interference campaign.

The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:41:01 +0000

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Europe’s radical-right parties felt empowered by Trump’s return to the White House, but their ability to reshape politics is constrained by divisions and a lack of vision. Pro-EU political forces can still forge the bloc’s future if they stop chasing the radical right.

The EU’s Dead-on-Arrival Pact for the Mediterranean

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:40:55 +0000

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The EU’s new Pact for the Mediterranean aims to reshape the bloc’s relations with its Southern neighborhood. But the initiative lacks concrete measures to address societal divides and the region’s pressing challenges.

Confronting Backlash Against Europe’s Green Transition

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:40:53 +0000

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Greenlash is driven by an increasingly diverse set of actors. It is also prompting groups in favor of ambitious climate action to seek more effective strategies.

Access Before Accession: Rethinking the EU’s Gradual Integration

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:40:48 +0000

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EU enlargement has stalled, with challenges arising both in candidate countries and in the union. Brussels should revive the process by promoting gradual integration as a clear and structured path to full membership.

Geoengineering: Assessing Risks in the Era of Planetary Security

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:40:42 +0000

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As the effects of climate change intensify, interest in geoengineering approaches is ramping up. But these methods risk creating new ecological and security threats, undermining urgent systemic transitions.

What Future for International Democracy Support?

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:40:35 +0000

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It is daunting to imagine how global democracy can be effectively supported as the Trump administration and other major democracies step back from vital diplomatic and aid commitments. Yet reinvention is possible—necessity can be turned into opportunity.